Start Map Midwest

Missouri: Watch

This state is not a first action, but the driver pattern should stay visible in the next operating brief. Evidence includes 11 weather alerts, 1,487 Census permit units, and 0 public facility records.

54

Score

85

Trust

#20

Rank

Decision packet

Watch regional signal movement

Missouri is Watch with score 54. Primary driver: weather.

Owner

Operations

Time window

Next review

Primary driver

weather (19.51)

Why this score

Missouri is Watch because weather is the largest contributor, supported by construction demand. It is 4 points below Investigate. Confidence penalty: 3 points. 1 source caveat should be reviewed before using the action.

Weather +19.51

pctl 68 / z 0.674 / nws

Construction demand +11

pctl 50 / z 0 / census

Facility/compliance +6.44

pctl 40 / z 0 / epa-echo

Cost pressure +6

pctl 50 / z 0 / bls

Momentum +9.08

pctl 82 / z 0.674 / history

Regional concentration +4.94

pctl 57 / z 0 / state-signals

Evidence and data freshness

nws

live

Used: 2026-07-03T18:27:39.884Z

public/data/live/nws.json

bls

live

Used: 2026-07-03T18:27:40.371Z

public/data/live/bls.json

epa-echo

cached-valid

Used: 2026-07-03T18:21:03.970Z

public/data/live/epa-echo.json

census

live

Used: 2026-07-03T18:27:40.252Z

public/data/live/census.json

live-bundle

generated

Used: 2026-07-03T18:27:41.470Z

public/data/live-bundle.json

Regional peers

Compare Missouri against nearby states