Previous score
No prior snapshot
South
Texas
Escalate regional operations review
Top driver
weather (26.61)
Next action
Commercial / Procurement
Decision horizon
0-72 hours
Decision state
84
Act
Confidence 84 / Time horizon 0-72 hours
What to do next
Review Why, verify Trust, then open the Brief if the recommendation is ready to share.
Score delta
0
Alert delta
0
Previous status
Act
Meeting-ready action
Texas: Act at score 84
Recommended action: Escalate regional operations review. Primary driver: weather. Evidence includes 4 active NOAA alerts; Max severity: Severe; Cost delta: 1.11%; Public facility records: 1480.
Owner
Commercial / Procurement
Exposure
Energy and inputs
NOAA alerts
4
Max severity
Severe
Public facility records
1480
Facility clusters
744
Census permit units
16,572
Multifamily units
3,474
Score breakdown
Weather pressure 26.61
Census construction demand 21.12
Facility/compliance context 14.68
Cost pressure 6
Score momentum 8.42
Regional concentration 6.93
Confidence penalty 0
risk = 0.30 weather + 0.22 demand + 0.15 facility + 0.12 cost + 0.12 momentum + 0.09 regional concentration - confidence penalty
Statistical model detail
Weather
pctl 84 / z 55.308
26.61
Construction demand
pctl 97 / z 5.241
21.12
Facility/compliance
pctl 97 / z 296.101
14.68
Cost pressure
pctl 50 / z 0
6
Momentum
pctl 75 / z 0.719
8.42
Regional concentration
pctl 84 / z 0.674
6.93
Evidence
4 active NOAA alerts
Max severity: Severe
Cost delta: 1.11%
Public facility records: 1480
Census BPS permit units: 16572
4 live and 1 cached-valid public sources
Source refs
nwsblsepa-echocensuslive-bundle
Weather tab
4 active NOAA alerts with max severity Severe.
Cost tab
Current BLS cost delta used by the model: 1.1137%.
Facility context tab
Public EPA ECHO facility/compliance context includes 1480 records and 744 map clusters.
Demand tab
Census BPS period 202604 shows 16,572 authorized permit units. This is construction context, not a sales forecast.
State action queue
| State | Score | Status | Owner | Action | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| North Carolina South | 87 | Act | Commercial / Procurement | Escalate regional operations review | 15 active NOAA alerts | Max severity: Moderate |
| Georgia South | 83 | Act | Commercial / Procurement | Escalate regional operations review | 4 active NOAA alerts | Max severity: Moderate |
| South Carolina South | 83 | Act | Commercial / Procurement | Escalate regional operations review | 7 active NOAA alerts | Max severity: Moderate |
| Florida South | 80 | Act | Commercial / Procurement | Escalate regional operations review | 22 active NOAA alerts | Max severity: Severe |
| Virginia South | 71 | Investigate | Commercial / Procurement | Investigate score drivers and source freshness | 3 active NOAA alerts | Max severity: Moderate |
| Maryland South | 62 | Investigate | Commercial / Procurement | Investigate score drivers and source freshness | 2 active NOAA alerts | Max severity: Moderate |
| West Virginia South | 59 | Investigate | Commercial / Procurement | Investigate score drivers and source freshness | 2 active NOAA alerts | Max severity: Moderate |
| Tennessee South | 56 | Watch | Commercial / Procurement | Watch regional signal movement | 0 active NOAA alerts | Max severity: None |