Start Map South

Arkansas: Watch

This state is not a first action, but the driver pattern should stay visible in the next operating brief. Evidence includes 6 weather alerts, 1,104 Census permit units, and 166 public facility records.

57

Score

83

Trust

#14

Rank

Decision packet

Watch regional signal movement

Arkansas is Watch with score 57. Primary driver: weather.

Owner

Commercial / Procurement

Time window

Next review

Primary driver

weather (16.39)

Why this score

Arkansas is Watch because weather is the largest contributor, supported by facility/compliance. It is 1 points below Investigate. Confidence penalty: 3 points. 1 source caveat should be reviewed before using the action.

Weather +16.39

pctl 56 / z 0.112 / nws

Construction demand +8.94

pctl 38 / z -0.252 / census

Facility/compliance +12.99

pctl 81 / z 111.965 / epa-echo

Cost pressure +6

pctl 50 / z 0 / bls

Momentum +9.08

pctl 82 / z 0.674 / history

Regional concentration +6.93

pctl 84 / z 0.674 / state-signals

Evidence and data freshness

nws

live

Used: 2026-07-03T18:27:39.884Z

public/data/live/nws.json

bls

live

Used: 2026-07-03T18:27:40.371Z

public/data/live/bls.json

epa-echo

cached-valid

Used: 2026-07-03T18:21:03.970Z

public/data/live/epa-echo.json

census

live

Used: 2026-07-03T18:27:40.252Z

public/data/live/census.json

live-bundle

generated

Used: 2026-07-03T18:27:41.470Z

public/data/live-bundle.json

Regional peers

Compare Arkansas against nearby states